How 5 Countries Could Become 14
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/09/29/sunday-review/how-5-countries-could-become-14.html?smid=fb-share&_r=4&
Slowly, the map of the Middle East could be redrawn. An analysis by Robin Wright.Related Article »
SPILLOVER TO IRAQ
In the simplest of several possibilities,
northern Kurds join Syrian Kurds. Many
central areas, dominated by Sunnis, join
Syria’s Sunnis. And the south becomes
Shiitestan. It’s not likely to be so clean.
In a more powerful twist, all or part of South Yemen could
then become part of Saudi Arabia. Nearly all Saudi commerce
is via sea, and direct access to the Arabian Sea would
diminish dependence on the Persian Gulf — and fears of
Iran’s ability to cut off the Strait of Hormuz.
YEMEN SPLITS
The poorest Arab country
could break (again) into two
pieces following a potential
referendum in South
Yemen on independence.
LIBYA UNGLUED
As a result of powerful
tribal and r
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